Preliminary Insights on Firms’ Dividend Policy Financial Drivers, from a Business Resilience Capability Perspective
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.36.5.37818Keywords:
financial resilience, dividends per share, earnings per share, accruals, credit raiting, crisisAbstract
There is a long debate about dividend policy, and indirectly on the level of dividends per share, without a consensus among researchers on the main drivers. The higher instability installed globally, on the ground of multiple consequent crises, has forced firms to pay more attention to the decision of distributing dividends to shareholders, as such a decision limits firms’ self-financing financial resources, with potential negative implications for sustainable growth, because of improper project-based investment financing. In a VUCA-BANI corporate environment, it is also mandatory to understand business resilience and how dividend policy could be affected, considering the concerns among investors when addressing the dynamics of dividend per share. With this paper, we come with preliminary insights on how the COVID-19 pandemic has affected firms’ dividend policy, but more importantly, on how this decision has affected business model resilience. We therefore assess the impact of several financial drivers of dividend distribution decision for the immediate period after this pandemic has ended, respectively earnings per share, credit risk score, stock market price volatility, or accruals ranking. The study uses a large dataset of data analytics provided through Refinitiv database. We analyse more than 1100 firms selected based on data availability, from developed European economies. Overall, the results suggest a marginal effect of the earnings per share, the variance of earnings per share, the credit risk score, and accruals level on the level of dividends per share. The study adds to the literature valuable information about financial drivers of dividend distribution decision, in the context of the actual high uncertainty in the business environment, because of the multiple overlapping crises. Nonetheless, the study provides some information on the synergy effects of the country- and industry-specific macroeconomic and institutional factors.



